Excess Deaths Archives - Covid Castaways

BBC Lies In Article About Excess Deaths In UK

February 5, 2023July 31, 2023
by Devin Russell

BBC Lies In Article About Excess Deaths In UK

Oh mon Dieu! Another mainstream media news outlet lying or misleading regarding pandemic related topics and stories. Some other examples are listed after the end of this piece. We might be beyond the trust but verify point and to the don’t trust and verify point. Which brings us to the article that’s the topic of this piece. Link below:

https://www.bbc.com/news/health-64209221

The title of this article is “Excess deaths in 2022 among worst in 50 years” – by Robert Cuffe & Rachel Schraer. Interesting and important topic I think. Naturally, first they put their attention on COVID.

“More than 650,000 deaths were registered in the UK in 2022 – 9% more than 2019. … Covid is still killing people, but is involved in fewer deaths now than at the start of the pandemic. Roughly 38,000 deaths involved Covid in 2022 compared with more than 95,000 in 2020. We are still seeing more deaths overall than would be expected based on recent history. The difference in 2022 – compared with 2020 and 2021 – is that Covid deaths were one of several factors, rather than the main explanation for this excess.”

It’s alarming COVID deaths, the main cause of excess deaths in 2020, is down a lot in the United Kingdom, but excess deaths remain high. COVID involved deaths are not the majority cause of excess deaths anymore. Of course, this brings us to something hotly debated. That is are all COVID deaths being recorded, due to lack of testing, poor testing, etc., and/or are COVID deaths being overcalculated when people who had COVID may have died from something else, or largely due to something else. Probably a some of both. Either way deaths related to COVID in 2020 are surely even higher than stated, at least due to lack of any testing early on in 2020 making the decrease in COVID deaths in 2022 likely even more steep. Like I said though, there are many factors that make this hard, if not impossible, to analyze. Plus there is a possibility people with severe COVID are dying months later from complications and those aren’t being counted as COVID deaths. This might occur less as we go, from 2020 on, as the variants become less severe and there are treatment options and better patient care. Again, there are many variables. Maybe reinfection after reinfection is a damage increasing problem that swings it the other way. With that all said, there are certainly other factors, so let’s see if the BBC can figure it all out.

“A number of doctors are blaming the wider crisis in the NHS. At the start of 2022, death rates were looking like they’d returned to pre-pandemic levels. It wasn’t until June that excess deaths really started to rise – just as the number of people waiting for hours on trolleys in English hospitals hit levels normally seen in winter. On 1 January 2023, the president of the Royal College of Emergency Medicine suggested the crisis in urgent care could be causing “300-500 deaths a week.” It is not a figure recognised by NHS England, but it’s roughly what you get if you multiply the number of people waiting long periods in A&E with the extra risk of dying estimated to come with those long waits (of between five and 12 hours). It is possible to debate the precise numbers, but it’s not controversial to say that your chances are worse if you wait longer for treatment, be that waiting for an ambulance to get to you, being stuck in an ambulance outside a hospital or in A&E. And we are seeing record waits in each of those areas. In November (2022), for example, it took 48 minutes on average for an ambulance in England to respond to a suspected heart attack or stroke, compared to a target of 18 minutes.”

One interesting word choice, before I delve in, is the journalists saying it took 48 minutes on average compared to a “target” of 18 minutes. The target is unimportant in this discussion of excess deaths. The average pre-pandemic, and through the pandemic response times, are the important statistics for excess deaths, because if 48 minutes was the average prior to the pandemic than it wouldn’t be a factor in excess deaths at all. Sneaky word play that I didn’t catch the first time I read it. … But I digress, like usual.

Also, remember later on how they thought it was fine to speculate on the amount of people dying due to waiting for urgent care based on one person’s quotation, but it’s not ok to speculate on possible COVID Vaccine harm. Certainly though this is a factor. The estimate used would account for 36,842 extra deaths from 1/1/21-5/31/22, you’ll see later why I used this time period. That’s if the wait times in hospitals were the same as June 2022 throughout that whole time, which they weren’t, using the highest estimate given in the above paragraph. The lower estimate, which is probably closer to accurate since the ERs weren’t packed that entire time period, is 22,105. As you will read later, this would only be a portion of the excess death + the deaths still occurring even though there are less COVID deaths than in 2020.

“Some of the excess may be people whose deaths were hastened by the after-effects of a Covid infection. A number of studies have found people are more likely to have heart problems and strokes in the weeks and months after catching Covid, and some of these may not end up being linked to the virus when the death is registered. As well as the impact on the heart of the virus itself, some of this may be contributed to by the fact many people didn’t come in for screenings and non-urgent treatment during the peak of the pandemic, storing up trouble for the future.”

Here they bring up what I mentioned earlier, which is a fair point as well. People are having damage, especially in the severe cases, but COVID Long Haulers certainly as well. Perhaps persistent viral infection is ongoing, just sayin’. Clotting issues might not be occurring or found until weeks or months later, if they are even located via tests at all. In COVID Long Haul there is an odd progression that many experience. You can go from neurological symptoms, to clotting problems, to GI issues, etc. up and down and all over for months to years. At the same time, people are having these problems for other reasons. Many in my family can attest to that, as well as my Aunt, who had stroke due to her 1 COVID Vaccination. These similar issues that happen are perhaps spike protein related and can often be scapegoated as COVID due to the similarity of the issues, the difficulty in testing for a vaccine injury, and the unwillingness to even consider vaccine injuries, due to many factors.

“We can see that the number of people starting treatment for blood pressure or with statins – which can help prevent future heart attacks – plunged during the pandemic and, a year later still hadn’t recovered. The largest jump in excess deaths was seen in men aged 50-64, most commonly caused by heart problems.”

Another point made here is that less people sought treatment for their blood pressure which may have caused heart attacks. That dip in seeking treatment had largely recovered by mid-2021, but not completely. Perhaps a portion of the sick people who would seek statins, or other medicines for their blood pressure, had already died from COVID. This would thus lower this number of people in the current and near future for a reason other than just less people seeking treatment who needed it. Obviously, COVID severely affected those with comorbidities, such as this, much more than others. Again, there are so many variables. … The data they link is not easily totaled, but there does seem to be an increase in cardiovascular disease from the link and from this citation (with some similar rationale as to why that happened).₁ The cited article was published 11/2/22. It stated there were 30,000 excess deaths involving heart disease since the beginning of the pandemic. Nevertheless, this is not definitively telling us the cause of why there is an increase in cardiovascular disease or accounting for all the excess deaths.

Now for the juicy, COMPLETELY INCORRECT part of this BBC Article that I’ve been patiently waiting to shred.

No evidence of vaccine effect

“The rise in cardiac problems has been pointed to by some online as evidence that Covid vaccines are driving the rise in deaths, but this conclusion is not supported by the data. One type of Covid vaccine has been linked to a small rise in cases of heart inflammation and scarring (pericarditis and myocarditis). But this particular vaccine side-effect was mainly seen in boys and young men, while the excess deaths are highest in older men – aged 50 or more. And these cases are too rare – and mostly not fatal – to account for the excess in deaths. Finally, figures up to June 2022 looking at deaths from all causes show unvaccinated people were more likely to die than vaccinated people. While this data on its own can’t tell us it’s the vaccine protecting people from dying – there are too many complicating factors – if vaccines were driving excess deaths we would expect this to be the other way around.”

And off we go! First the title. I assume they’re saying there is no evidence that the vaccine is a cause of excess deaths since the topic of the article is excess deaths in UK. … I’m not even going to tackle the data comment because I think the data isn’t very good when it comes to vaccine injuries most of the time. Analyzing all the red flags, of which there are many, is more useful to me, at least as an individual, until there is actually a fair, honest, and open discussion. How would we have accurate data most of the time if you can’t test for vaccine injuries and it’s the 5th rail of topics? Also, what we think is safe now is not what we think is safe in a number of years (see Vioxx, which took 5 years to discover at least 10,000s had been killed due to the drug, and a whole host of other drugs and other vaccines that have been removed from the market). It takes time to see and figure out. The putrid booster rates in various countries might tell you something though, while people line up for that Flu Vaccine still in greater numbers (at least in the USA).

Secondly, if the vaccines aren’t an issue why is England now suggesting no one under 50, unless for very very specific reasons, take the COVID Vaccine?₂ Why suggest that if it’s either not safe or not effective, or both? Even if it’s safe and not incredibly effective, but helps some, there shouldn’t be a problem recommending it as it won’t cause much harm, right? You’d think. Last I checked, the pandemic is very much not over, so that’s not the reason for the pullback.

Next they say the blatantly false thing that the statistics they cite prove wrong! “Finally, figures up to June 2022 looking at deaths from all causes show unvaccinated people were more likely to die than vaccinated people. … if vaccines were driving excess deaths we would expect this to be the other way around.” WHAT?! I actually say what out loud every time I read that part. Here’s the data directly from their source listed in the paragraph above, which is the NHS (National Health Service), from the latest data set at the time of this post, 1/1/21-5/31/22, table 3 entitled “Whole period age-standardised mortality rates by vaccination status for all cause deaths, deaths involving COVID-19 and deaths not involving COVID-19, per 100,000 person-years, England, deaths occurring between 1 January 2021 and 31 May 2022“:

All Cause Deaths for Unvaccinated = 109,891
All Cause Deaths for the Ever Vaccinated = 531,118 (4.83x more than Unvaccinated)
COVID Involved Deaths for Unvaccinated = 38,285 (1.06x more than Ever Vaccinated)
COVID Involved Deaths for Ever Vaccinated = 36,175

As you can clearly see, the ever vaccinated died 4.83x more in this time period from all causes than the unvaccinated. The article states the opposite. If they meant from COVID Involved Deaths, they would be right, and they could even infer the vaccine probably helped cause less COVID Involved Deaths, at least at some point, but they didn’t say that. Plus that wouldn’t make sense in the context of the article. They may have just been trying to be deceitful hoping people wouldn’t realize, but guess what? I look everything up, especially when something is said that makes no logical sense. What makes things even worse is this:

Current UK Population = 68,821,020
Total Population in UK with at least 1 Dose = 53,813,491₃
Ever Vaccinated in UK = 78.2%
Unvaccinated in UK = 21.8%
3.59x more Ever Vaccinated in UK than Unvaccinated
4.83x more All Cause Deaths in Ever Vaccinated in UK than Unvaccinated

More deaths in Ever Vaccinated in UK than what there should be. That’s not great. Especially when you can make a safe assumption that those vaccinated are probably taking COVID more seriously in general, in other ways, than the unvaccinated. Plus it seems the COVID Vaccines from this data have protected people from dying of COVID (and possibly even more from severe disease), making it even more suspicious as to why the all cause deaths for the vaccinated are higher than the unvaccinated. BUT of course with most everything related to COVID and the COVID Vaccines, it’s complicated. One reason that would skew this is that more younger people in the UK are unvaccinated and are less likely to die from anything, COVID as well.

Still there are 42,000+ more deaths in 2022 than in 2020 in the UK, while there are 57,000 less COVID Involved Deaths in 2022 than in 2020.₄ That total brings us to around 100,000 deaths that shouldn’t be occurring in 2022, but are. Even with the potential causes and estimates listed in the article, there are 10s of thousands of deaths occurring that are difficult to nail down as to why. Those with initial severe COVID dying later on is a factor, such as those put on a ventilator. Perhaps though, the vaccine should be taken seriously as a potential cause for once, and not dismissed by the media, while lying about the data … since it is the other way around Robert Cuffe & Rachel Schraer. Does this mean you’ll write a correction in your article and change your stances? I won’t hold my breath for that.

MORE MEDIA DISHONESTY EXAMPLES

We have seen this many times. For example, with news reports on COVID Long Haulers who had actually improved from their conditions then took a COVID Vaccine, got horrific symptoms which led to them committing suicide. What’s the narrative of these stories? They committed suicide due to Long COVID. Their intense vaccine reactions not even mentioned typically. One of those articles I’m referring to was written for the New Yorker by a Physician.₅ He was told that one of subjects of the article had an intense vaccine reaction that gave her tremors, insomnia, etc. that led to her suicide. He chose to omit it from his extremely lengthy article. A doctor and journalist no less!

A BBC journalist, a different one than that wrote the article that will be discussed below, notified Facebook that people were using a carrot emoji to talk about vaccine injuries, because you have to talk in code on Facebook or you get censored and kicked off the platform. She contributed to vaccine injury groups getting shut down, thus eliminating an important space for the vaccine injured to discuss their injuries and get information and help.₆

An NBC reporter gaslit a 12 year old vaccine injured girl, paralyzed using a feeding tube, because the journalist was more concerned with criticisms of the COVID Vaccines than a child who is irreparably harmed due to them.₇ The ends justify the means I suppose? Not in my mind.

SOURCES:

30,000 Excess Heart Related Deaths in UK During Pandemic – https://www.bhf.org.uk/what-we-do/news-from-the-bhf/news-archive/2022/november/extreme-heart-care-disruption-linked-to-excess-deaths-involving-heart-disease
Booster Restricted For Under 50 in UK – https://www.bbc.com/news/health-64496025
Number of Those in UK Vaccinated – https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/vaccinations
Total Deaths by Year in UK – https://www.ons.gov.uk/aboutus/transparencyandgovernance/freedomofinformationfoi/deathsintheukfrom1990to2020
https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2021/09/27/the-struggle-to-define-long-covid
https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-62877597
https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/vaccine-misinformation-poised-spike-covid-shots-kids-roll-rcna4360

TAGS: COVID Vaccine, Excess Deaths, Fact Check, Media Lies

Excess Deaths

Thousands of Recent Unexpected Deaths in England & Wales:…

September 30, 2021July 30, 2023
by Devin Russell

Thousands of Recent Unexpected Deaths in England & Wales: Why?

A few days ago I noticed an article in Yahoo News, via The Telegraph, entitled “Thousands more people than usual are dying … but it’s not from COVID.” ¹ The publication goes on to state a few things that I will comment about later. Here are some bullet points:

There have been thousands of excess deaths recently in England and Wales (E&W), which is particularly unusual for the summer time. Since July 2, 2021 (date of article September 24, 2021) there have been 9,619 excess deaths in E&W. 4,635 of those deaths were not caused by COVID-19.
In this time period there have been 2,103 extra deaths from ischemic heart disease, 1,552 from heart failure, and 760 from cerebrovascular diseases such as stroke and aneurysm.
A doctor interviewed suggested this may be occuring because of a backlog due to the delays COVID caused for other patients. Elective operations fell significantly between March 2020 and February 2021 as the NHS prioritised COVID-19 care.

Let’s first analyze the data before we get to a suspected reason as to why. Enjoy the math, I know I do! There are 84 days between July 2nd and September 24th (if this is the time period they are saying in the article, it’s not completely clear, but this is me being conservative). 84 days x 4.345 = 365 days approximately (1 year). Thus 4,635 excess deaths x 4.345 = 20,162 excess deaths in a year (if paced equally).

In the United Kingdom (which also includes Northern Ireland and Scotland) the COVID Vaccinated population % with the 1st dose by July 1, 2021 was 82.8% and 2nd dose was 61.2%. By September 24, 2021 the vaccinated population % with the 1st dose was 89.6% and 2nd dose was 82.2%. By adding 89.6 + 82.2 and then subtracting 82.8 + 61.2 from that, and then by dividing the result into 82.8 + 61.2 we can figure out how many more COVID Vaccinations took place between January and July 1 2021 as opposed to July 2 and September 24 2021.² The results are in … from January to July 1 2021, 5.18x (actually higher because there was a month and change of data missing from the website I was looking at) more COVID Vaccinations were provided as opposed to the 84 days after in England and Wales.

Since there were 5.18x more COVID Vaccines provided prior to July 2nd through September 24, 2021 in E&W, this has to be taken into account. If these excess deaths were caused by the COVID Vaccines than 28,644 people died in excess in England and Wales between January 11 and September 24th 2021 with 3+ months left to round out a year, and with boosters possibly on the way. The population of England and Wales combined is 59,116,000. The population of the United States is 328,200,000. USA’s population is 5.55 times larger than England and Wales combined. Multiplying the revised number of 28,644 excess deaths by 5.55, based on how much larger the US population is than England and Wales’, you get 158,975 excess deaths. The UK is only about 3-4% more vaccinated than the US. Adjusting for that, conservatively, we get to 152,616 excess deaths potentially in the US if caused by the COVID Vaccines in 8.5-9 months time. If …

There are certainly variables at play that don’t make this mathematical process perfect, such as: the US not having AstraZeneca as an approved vaccine, how are excess deaths measured and if there are multiple reasons for them (if there are less flu deaths, car accident deaths, and more people taking their health seriously, etc. does this mean that there really are even more accidental deaths or the reverse could be true from suicides, delayed surgeries, etc.), and excess deaths exist normally, but they usually occur in the winter, etc.

So what changed from 2020 to 2021? There was a backlog in operations and procedures in both 2020 and 2021. COVID was running rampant both years as well. The vaccine is by far the biggest change. Hundreds of millions of vaccine doses were dolled out in England, Wales, and The United States. The vaccine rollouts started December 8th in the UK and December 14th 2020 in the US.

Is it possible these excess deaths, which seem largely heart and vascular related in England and Wales, are caused by the COVID Vaccinations? It should be considered seriously as opposed to the media, social media, and tech companies trying their hardest to prevent “misinformation.” “Misinformation” such as people talking about their own vaccine injuries and their own experiences. Since when can’t people discuss, and get censored for such things, in a “free” United States of America? It’s despicable what these platforms are doing to people seeking help and trying to inform others, but I digress.

Do I know that COVID Vaccines caused these deaths? No. Should health organizations and the media take these excess deaths seriously and investigate? Yes. That shouldn’t be so much to ask. They should naturally want to dig deeper into these mystery deaths. … In time we should know the excess deaths in 2021 for the US (a few months probably). That will be telling. I won’t be surprised if there are a significant number of excess deaths this year in the United States as well. The data on COVID Vaccine adverse events and injuries is weak, to put it mildly. You’d be quite intellectually dishonest and naive to think otherwise. These statistics put my antenas right up. If the powers that be really cared about the well being of the people, they would look into this instead of worrying so much about censoring and suppressing skepticism.

I hope we get these answers soon as to why these deaths are occuring. Maybe it won’t correlate to the vaccines, but until we get better data which has been properly analysed so we have clearer answers, remember “there are lies, damned lies, and statistics.”

Sources: